What Headline

Click on the map
to visit Dan's world

Photograph

Limpopo Province, South Africa


Like most of the world, Africa will become warmer over the next century. In addition, climate models predict that large swaths of the world’s poorest continent, including parts of the southern countries of South Africa, Zambia, Mozambique, Namibia and Zimbabwe, will receive less rain during what is already each year’s dry season. The livelihood of Africans is more closely linked to predictable rainfall than that of inhabitants of many other parts of the world. For instance, only four percent of arable land in sub-Saharan Africa is irrigated, about one tenth the comparable figure for Asia.


The western parts of South Africa are expected to experience the greatest reductions in rainfall. Some regions are already suffering serious water shortages, which might be early climate-change impacts. Cultural anthropologist Douglas Merrey, an international consultant on water and irrigation policies based in Pretoria, says irrigation can help, but there isn’t enough surface and ground water to meet the demands of every water-short farmer. “Many of the rural poor,” he says, “are probably not going to be farmers in the future.” The dilemma for South African farmers is that they have limited options for making a living. Merrey says in the short term the government must find ways to help farmers where water supplies are limited, like providing equipment for collecting and storing rainwater. In the long term farmers and the government must prepare the next generation for other occupations.


Geographer Peter Johnston of the University of Cape Town says to complicate matters his country will experience more intense and frequent weather extremes of other sorts, including devastating floods; tormenting urban and rural residents alike. “Very few of these changes are going to make life easier for us,” says Johnston.


At the University of Cape Town, plant geneticist Jennifer Thomson says research in her lab on maize—as corn is known in many countries—will help South Africa to withstand drier conditions predicted for the future. She’s made a genetically modified maize variety using genes from the grass-like resurrection plant, which can withstand long dry spells. Some development experts say such new plants might be necessary but only as a last resort.


Related Links

Visit related Heat of the Moment pages, including Khulna, Bangladesh; The Sunderbans, India; Vilankulos, Mozambique and Paris, France



PHOTO GALLERY OF SOUTH AFRICA

  • View Dan's Photographs of Limpopo Province, South Africa